LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner

● quote 3018 min ago
SportsCloses: 2 daysLiquidity: $494.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.7MEvent: LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
99.9¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 52%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHanwha Life Esports (YES)$32.0K@ 55¢·fkgggg2mouzfuria

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — MARKET STATUS RISK
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$10
tracked
$124.1K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$11.8K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 52% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Only 0 tracked trades / 39 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • Executable quote is 3018 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 3089 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-07-30 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Hanwha Life Esports and Dplus KIA in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for July 30 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win Game 2 against Dplus KIA. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 2 against Hanwha Life Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 2d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 2d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Eztennis2 linked markets · $61.8K gross
0x04b1…d2243 linked markets · $46.1K gross
0xe907…cff63 linked markets · $20.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h$10
24h+$36.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h76.4¢▲ above by 23.5pp
VWAP 7d76.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$23.4K
90¢
$42.1K
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$58.7K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYHanwha Life Esports (YES)$13.7K@ 94.4¢0x04b1…d224🐋2 days ago
BUYHanwha Life Esports (YES)$14.4K@ 94.0¢0x04b1…d224🐋2 days ago
BUYHanwha Life Esports (YES)$11.8K@ 90.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋2 days ago
BUYDplus KIA (NO)$26.6K@ 43.0¢
Eztennis0x4be1…aa70
🐋2 days ago
BUYHanwha Life Esports (YES)$32.0K@ 55.0¢
fkgggg2mouzfuria0x52ec…a6f3
🐋2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkgggg2mouzfuriaHanwha Life Esports$32.0K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·1 fill
0x04b1…d224Hanwha Life Esports$28.1K
BUY VWAP 94.2¢·2 fills
EztennisDplus KIA$26.6K
BUY VWAP 43.0¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Hanwha Life Esports$11.8K
BUY VWAP 90.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.