LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner

● quote 554 min ago
SportsCloses: about 11 hoursLiquidity: $259.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.2MEvent: LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
0.1¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly1Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 42%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:190 trades$71.3K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 6%BUY/SELL known 82%
tape 593 min agoofficial metadata 552 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam WE (NO)$28.8K@ 62¢·0xe907…cff6

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — MARKET STATUS RISK
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$15
6h
−$43.8K
tracked
$71.3K

1 verified profitable wallet: −$112 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 42% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 554 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 593 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 552 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-07-25 11:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between LGD Gaming and Team WE in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 25 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 2 against Team WE. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win Game 2 against LGD Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 9h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 9h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe907…cff63 linked markets · $59.4K gross
esportGG2 linked markets · $27.3K gross
0xcae6…4f852 linked markets · $4.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Team WE14h ago
Outcome checks pending
DEADLINE POSITIONINGBUY Team WE@ 75.0¢14h ago
15m CONFIRMED +22.1pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: YES DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $139$904 · 3s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$15
6h$43.8K
24h$43.8K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h32.3¢▼ below by 32.2pp
VWAP 7d32.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$100
45¢
$4.4K
40¢
$0
35¢
$35.3K
30¢
$3.9K
25¢
$7.1K
20¢
$88
15¢
$704
10¢
$0
5¢
$2.8K
0¢
← now
$3.9K

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYTeam WE (NO)$28.8K@ 62.5¢0xe907…cff6🐋about 14 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xe907…cff6Team WE$30.5K
BUY VWAP 62.9¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.