Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?

● quote 10s ago

Culture→Closes: 4 daysLiquidity: $24.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $186.0KEvent: Another GTA VI trailer released by...?

9.7¢

YES

90.3¢

2.9¢

Spread

anomaly1Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets77Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:98 trades$43.6K trackedsource coverage 23%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 50 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO · $1.7K net·9 wallets·$41.1K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNO$9.8K@ 61¢·0xffd3…7c75

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

+$27

−$4.3K

tracked

$43.6K

9 verified profitable wallets: NO · $1.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?

2.9¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Observed tape is 50 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-09-01 03:59 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: Not supplied by the market

Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Yes" if another official trailer for GTA VI is released by Rockstar Games or any of its official accounts, including but not limited to Rockstar's official website, YouTube channel, Twitter, or any other official social media platform between market creation and the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

•This market will resolve immediately if such an official trailer is released by the expiry date. If no official trailer is released by the specified date, this market will resolve to "No".

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if another official trailer for GTA VI is released by Rockstar Games or any of its official accounts, including but not limited to Rockstar's official website, YouTube channel, Twitter, or any other official social media platform between market creation and the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An "official trailer" is defined as a video clearly labelled and marketed as a trailer for the game in question. Teasers, gameplay snippets, or other promotional materials will not qualify for resolution unless explicitly marketed as an official trailer by Rockstar Games. This market will resolve immediately if such an official trailer is released by the expiry date. If no official trailer is released by the specified date, this market will resolve to "No".

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hYES · $27

6hNO · $4.3K

24hNO · $22.6K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current9.7¢

VWAP 24h12.3¢▼ below by 2.6pp

VWAP 7d26.5¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

60¢

$40

55¢

50¢

$314

45¢

$3.7K

40¢

$12.0K

35¢

$25.8K

30¢

$7.9K

25¢

$6.6K

20¢

$1.6K

15¢

$1.3K

10¢

$12.6K

5¢

← now

$14.4K

0¢

$7.0K

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…

Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago

Loading trades…

🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now

No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

No one announced as next James Bond?

19.7¢$131.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 1080m by August 31?

0.1¢$88.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

7.5¢$75.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?

92.8¢$75.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?

20.5¢$68.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?

0.1¢$64.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?

5.4¢$60.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?

0.1¢$53.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

zb8Yes$14.9K

BUY VWAP 40.9¢·5 fills

0xffd3…7c75No$11.2K

BUY VWAP 60.5¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.