Will Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026?

● quote 1392 min ago

Crypto→Closes: 4 monthsLiquidity: $144.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $632.8KEvent: What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

99.9¢

YES

0.1¢

Spread

anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:21 trades$618.3K tracked48% 🐋source coverage 98%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 1452 min agoofficial metadata 666 min ago

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYES$297.0K@ 99¢·pelik

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — MARKET STATUS RISK

What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

+$609.7K

tracked

$618.3K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$34.8K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
•Executable quote is 1392 minutes old.
•Observed tape is 1452 minutes old.
•Official market metadata is 666 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

resolved

Trading

Orders paused

Deadline

2027-01-01 05:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: Not supplied by the market

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Recent definition/status changes

TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 23h ago

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

0x731a…033f2 linked markets · $108.5K gross

0xf705…3ca75 linked markets · $58.0K gross

0x9abc…decf2 linked markets · $44.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h+$0

6h+$609.7K

24h+$611.7K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current99.9¢

VWAP 24h98.9¢▲ above by 1.0pp

VWAP 7d98.9¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

← now

$612.0K

90¢

$1.0K

85¢

$3.3K

80¢

75¢