Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox

● quote 35 min ago
SportsCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $212.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $465.3KEvent: Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
99.9¢
YES
3.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection17Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets10Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 88%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:79 trades$250.6K tracked9% 🐋source coverage 54%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 36 min agoofficial metadata 34 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $11.3K·7 wallets(3🐋)·$115.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAtlanta Braves (YES)$38.5K@ 99¢·Sisyphus.

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$43.3K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$43.3K
6h
−$9.3K
tracked
$250.6K

7 verified profitable wallets: −$11.3K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 88% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +63.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 35 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 36 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 34 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-27 18:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for June 11 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 21d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $24.8K gross
0x5268…135d2 linked markets · $19.0K gross
0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $13.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago White Sox@ 37.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h INVALIDATED -31.0pp
Latest book event: YES UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $8.5K$23.2K · 18s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$43.3K
6h$9.3K
24h$17.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h76.9¢▲ above by 23.0pp
VWAP 7d76.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$94.3K
90¢
$23.0K
85¢
$13.6K
80¢
$12.0K
75¢
$1.2K
70¢
$20
65¢
$12.2K
60¢
$1.5K
55¢
$7.0K
50¢
$42.7K
45¢
$52.6K
40¢
$1.0K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLAtlanta Braves (YES)$11.1K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋37 minutes ago
SELLAtlanta Braves (YES)$12.0K@ 99.9¢0x6f2e…9d0b🐋about 1 hour ago
BUYAtlanta Braves (YES)$38.5K@ 99.0¢
Sisyphus.0xfc25…1f7f
🐋about 1 hour ago
BUYAtlanta Braves (YES)$20.6K@ 91.0¢0x2aee…b327🐋about 1 hour ago
BUYChicago White Sox (NO)$10.9K@ 52.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋about 3 hours ago
BUYChicago White Sox (NO)$26.1K@ 51.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋about 3 hours ago
BUYChicago White Sox (NO)$19.0K@ 50.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Sisyphus.Atlanta Braves$38.5K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·1 fill
xifutloong3Chicago White Sox$36.9K
BUY VWAP 51.3¢·2 fills
ferrariChampions2026Chicago White Sox$23.2K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·2 fills
0x2aee…b327Atlanta Braves$20.6K
BUY VWAP 91.0¢·1 fill
0xb595…5922Atlanta Braves$10.4K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.