PnL by Market (57)5 open52 closed
● open No · $31.0Kin $30.0Kunreal +$963
● open No · $31.4Kin $30.0Kunreal +$1.4K
$-10055
● open Yes · $9.9Kin $10.0Kunreal $-55
● open No · $10.0Kin $10.0Kunreal $-5
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
● open Yes · $2.2Kin $2.2Kunreal $-2
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
● closedout $38.0K
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
● closedin $3.4Kout $15.6K
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
● closedout $9.0K
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
● closedin $9.7Kout $1.2K
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
● closedin $508out $5.7K
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?
● closedout $5.0K
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?
● closedin $2.8Kout $7.6K
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
● closedin $25.3Kout $27.0K
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
● closedout $1.6K
Will the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?
● closedout $1.3K
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
● closedin $10.0Kout $11.2K
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?
● closedin $32.0Kout $33.2K
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
● closedin $9.3Kout $10.4K
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
● closedin $4.3Kout $3.2K
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?
● closedin $13.2Kout $14.1K
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?
● closedin $1.9Kout $2.7K
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
● closedin $20.8Kout $21.4K
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
● closedin $36.2Kout $36.7K
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
● closedin $36.9Kout $37.4K
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
● closedin $1.4Kout $1.9K
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
● closedin $30.0Kout $30.4K
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
● closedin $10.0Kout $10.3K
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
● closedin $10.0Kout $10.3K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
● closedin $91.3Kout $91.5K
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?
● closedin $30.0Kout $30.2K
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
● closedin $10.0Kout $10.2K
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
● closedin $19.8Kout $20.0K
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?
● closedin $10.2Kout $10.3K
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
● closedin $2.8Kout $2.9K
Trump announces military action against Iran durring SOTU?
● closedin $15.2Kout $15.3K
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
● closedin $4.6Kout $4.7K
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?
● closedin $3.5Kout $3.6K
Will OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
● closedin $8.5Kout $8.6K
● closedin $9.9Kout $10.0K
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
● closedin $39.9Kout $39.9K
US strikes Iraq by March 7?
● closedin $10.0Kout $10.0K
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
● closedin $4.8Kout $4.7K
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?
● closedin $10.0Kout $10.0K
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?
● closedin $1.6Kout $1.6K
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
● closedin $151out $165
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 41.0 on March 6, 2026?
● closedin $211out $218
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 1, 2026?
● closedin $584out $590
Will The Left win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
● closedin $3.3Kout $3.3K
Will DeepSeek have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
● closedin $925out $928
Will xAI have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
● closedin $940out $942
Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
● closedin $803out $804
Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
● closedin $315out $317
Will BSW win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
● closedin $825out $825
Will Kristi Noem be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
● closedin $130out $130
Will SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
● closed
Will FDP win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
● closed
Baden-Württemberg Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place
● closed
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? ●open No· $31.0K | $30.0K | $0 | +$963 | 73 | $-29037 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? ●open No· $31.4K | $30.0K | $0 | +$1.4K | 4 | $-28586 |
| Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? ●open Yes· $9.9K | $10.0K | $0 | $-55 | 7 | $-10055 |
| Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? ●open No· $10.0K | $10.0K | $0 | $-5 | 7 | $-10005 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026? ●open Yes· $2.2K | $2.2K | $0 | $-2 | 2 | $-2230 |
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? ● closed | $0 | $38.0K | — | 0 | +$38.0K |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? ● closed | $3.4K | $15.6K | — | 3 | +$12.2K |
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026? ● closed | $0 | $9.0K | — | 0 | +$9.0K |
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? ● closed | $9.7K | $1.2K | — | 39 | $-8503 |
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026? ● closed | $508 | $5.7K | — | 3 | +$5.1K |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)? ● closed | $0 | $5.0K | — | 0 | +$5.0K |
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28? ● closed | $2.8K | $7.6K | — | 11 | +$4.9K |
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? ● closed | $25.3K | $27.0K | — | 10 | +$1.7K |
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026? ● closed | $0 | $1.6K | — | 0 | +$1.6K |
Will the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more? ● closed | $0 | $1.3K | — | 0 | +$1.3K |
US forces enter Iran by March 14? ● closed | $10.0K | $11.2K | — | 1 | +$1.2K |
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4? ● closed | $32.0K | $33.2K | — | 37 | +$1.2K |
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? ● closed | $9.3K | $10.4K | — | 14 | +$1.2K |
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? ● closed | $4.3K | $3.2K | — | 6 | $-1095 |
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7? ● closed | $13.2K | $14.1K | — | 3 | +$900 |
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3? ● closed | $1.9K | $2.7K | — | 6 | +$755 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? ● closed | $20.8K | $21.4K | — | 9 | +$596 |
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? ● closed | $36.2K | $36.7K | — | 23 | +$504 |
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? ● closed | $36.9K | $37.4K | — | 31 | +$494 |
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026? ● closed | $1.4K | $1.9K | — | 4 | +$442 |
US forces enter Iran by March 7? ● closed | $30.0K | $30.4K | — | 24 | +$418 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2? ● closed | $10.0K | $10.3K | — | 1 | +$309 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? ● closed | $10.0K | $10.3K | — | 15 | +$304 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? ● closed | $91.3K | $91.5K | — | 9 | +$243 |
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026? ● closed | $30.0K | $30.2K | — | 2 | +$196 |
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6? ● closed | $10.0K | $10.2K | — | 5 | +$194 |
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28? ● closed | $19.8K | $20.0K | — | 17 | +$170 |
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5? ● closed | $10.2K | $10.3K | — | 7 | +$165 |
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026? ● closed | $2.8K | $2.9K | — | 6 | +$162 |
Trump announces military action against Iran durring SOTU? ● closed | $15.2K | $15.3K | — | 4 | +$146 |
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026? ● closed | $4.6K | $4.7K | — | 11 | +$121 |
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4? ● closed | $3.5K | $3.6K | — | 1 | +$117 |
Will OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026? ● closed | $8.5K | $8.6K | — | 3 | +$53 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? ● closed | $9.9K | $10.0K | — | 1 | +$50 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $39.9K | $39.9K | — | 2 | +$40 |
US strikes Iraq by March 7? ● closed | $10.0K | $10.0K | — | 4 | +$30 |
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? ● closed | $4.8K | $4.7K | — | 14 | $-25 |
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026? ● closed | $10.0K | $10.0K | — | 1 | +$23 |
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15? ● closed | $1.6K | $1.6K | — | 7 | +$18 |
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? ● closed | $151 | $165 | — | 2 | +$14 |
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 41.0 on March 6, 2026? ● closed | $211 | $218 | — | 1 | +$7 |
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 1, 2026? ● closed | $584 | $590 | — | 1 | +$6 |
Will The Left win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? ● closed | $3.3K | $3.3K | — | 1 | +$3 |
Will DeepSeek have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026? ● closed | $925 | $928 | — | 1 | +$3 |
Will xAI have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026? ● closed | $940 | $942 | — | 1 | +$2 |
Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026? ● closed | $803 | $804 | — | 1 | +$2 |
Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026? ● closed | $315 | $317 | — | 1 | +$2 |
Will BSW win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? ● closed | $825 | $825 | — | 1 | +$1 |
Will Kristi Noem be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? ● closed | $130 | $130 | — | 2 | +$0 |
Will SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will FDP win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Baden-Württemberg Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Recent Trades (3)
Trading Activity · 90d
2 active days
Category Accuracy
Geopolitics
$60.0K—0/0
Politics
$20.0K—0/0
Entry Timing Before Resolution
1d–7d
1 betsunresolved0/0
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