PnL by Market (33)1 open32 closed
● open No · $17.7Kin $17.6Kunreal +$9
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
● closedin $920out $4.0K
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
● closedin $760out $2.8K
New "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28?
● closedin $12.4Kout $12.6K
● closedin $17.6Kout $17.6K
● closedin $17.5Kout $17.5K
Will the US strike Somalia next?
● closedin $5.0Kout $5.0K
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
● closedin $17.5Kout $17.5K
US strikes Iraq by March 7?
● closedin $17.4Kout $17.5K
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
● closedin $17.4Kout $17.4K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
● closedin $17.4Kout $17.4K
GPT-5.3 released by March 15, 2026?
● closedin $17.1Kout $17.1K
● closedin $5.9Kout $6.0K
US government shutdown Saturday?
● closedin $5.2Kout $5.2K
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
● closedin $2.8Kout $2.8K
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
● closedin $4.2Kout $4.2K
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
● closedin $1.9Kout $1.9K
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
● closedin $3.3Kout $3.3K
Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?
● closedin $2.2Kout $2.2K
Military action against Iran ends by March 23, 2026?
● closedin $1.4Kout $1.4K
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
● closedin $543out $544
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
● closedin $930out $931
Will there be at least 1,250 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
● closedin $552out $553
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
● closedin $320out $321
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?
● closedin $285out $286
Will no one dissent the January Fed decision?
● closedin $107out $108
Will there be at least 1,300 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
● closedin $2out $2
● closedin $40.1Kout $40.1K
● closedin $17.5Kout $17.5K
● closedin $287out $287
● closedin $22.7Kout $22.7K
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
● closedin $80out $80
● closedin $3.3Kout $3.3K
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026? ●open No· $17.7K | $17.6K | $0 | +$9 | 1 | $-17637 |
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026? ● closed | $920 | $4.0K | — | 1 | +$3.1K |
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? ● closed | $760 | $2.8K | — | 8 | +$2.1K |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28? ● closed | $12.4K | $12.6K | — | 19 | +$149 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? ● closed | $17.6K | $17.6K | — | 5 | +$88 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? ● closed | $17.5K | $17.5K | — | 2 | +$53 |
Will the US strike Somalia next? ● closed | $5.0K | $5.0K | — | 1 | +$25 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? ● closed | $17.5K | $17.5K | — | 1 | +$17 |
US strikes Iraq by March 7? ● closed | $17.4K | $17.5K | — | 7 | +$17 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? ● closed | $17.4K | $17.4K | — | 3 | +$17 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? ● closed | $17.4K | $17.4K | — | 1 | +$17 |
GPT-5.3 released by March 15, 2026? ● closed | $17.1K | $17.1K | — | 1 | +$17 |
| Trump out as President by March 31? ● closed | $5.9K | $6.0K | — | 14 | +$16 |
US government shutdown Saturday? ● closed | $5.2K | $5.2K | — | 3 | +$6 |
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026? ● closed | $2.8K | $2.8K | — | 5 | +$5 |
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address? ● closed | $4.2K | $4.2K | — | 4 | +$4 |
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? ● closed | $1.9K | $1.9K | — | 2 | +$4 |
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? ● closed | $3.3K | $3.3K | — | 1 | +$3 |
Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting? ● closed | $2.2K | $2.2K | — | 1 | +$2 |
Military action against Iran ends by March 23, 2026? ● closed | $1.4K | $1.4K | — | 1 | +$1 |
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026? ● closed | $543 | $544 | — | 4 | +$1 |
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)? ● closed | $930 | $931 | — | 2 | +$1 |
Will there be at least 1,250 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026? ● closed | $552 | $553 | — | 1 | +$1 |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? ● closed | $320 | $321 | — | 1 | +$0 |
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026? ● closed | $285 | $286 | — | 1 | +$0 |
Will no one dissent the January Fed decision? ● closed | $107 | $108 | — | 3 | +$0 |
Will there be at least 1,300 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026? ● closed | $2 | $2 | — | 1 | +$0 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ● closed | $40.1K | $40.1K | — | 0 | +$0 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ● closed | $17.5K | $17.5K | — | 0 | +$0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? ● closed | $287 | $287 | — | 3 | +$0 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ● closed | $22.7K | $22.7K | — | 0 | +$0 |
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? ● closed | $80 | $80 | — | 11 | +$0 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? ● closed | $3.3K | $3.3K | — | 0 | +$0 |
Recent Trades (5)
NO$17.6K@ 99.9¢Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?🐋about 22 hours ago
Trading Activity · 90d
3 active days
Category Accuracy
Politics
$89.6K20%1/5
Geopolitics
$35.2K100%1/1
Entry Timing Before Resolution
1d–7d
3 betsunresolved0/0
>7d
2 betsunresolved0/0
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