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Spread: Pistons (-11.5)

● quote 598 min ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: less than a minuteLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $7.8KEvent: Pistons vs. Wizards

Indicative prices · 598 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

45.5¢
Pistons
54.5¢
Wizards
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly50Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 55%
24h sample:5 trades$1.6K trackedsource coverage 21%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 9 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPistons$1.6K@ 45¢·AppleTiiime

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$24
6h
−$18
tracked
$1.6K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 55% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 598 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-13 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Pistons" if the Pistons win the game by 12 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Wizards". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Wizards".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Pistons and Wizards, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Pistons" if the Pistons win the game by 12 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Wizards". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Wizards". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x4924…37822 linked markets · $159.4K gross
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh2 linked markets · $35.7K gross
JoeyAroyyOO2 linked markets · $11.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pistons; negative values favor Wizards. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hWizards · $24
6hWizards · $18
24hPistons · $1.6K

Pistons price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pistons price. Wizards fills are converted to the complementary Pistons probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current45.5¢
VWAP 24h45.01¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d45.01¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pistons price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$1.6K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
48.5¢$107.0Kpriority79Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pistons vs. Wizards
79.5¢$97.4Kpriority62Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 221.5
53.5¢$56.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5
50.5¢$22.6Kpriority48Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)
53.5¢$20.8Kpriority56Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 220.5
55.5¢$17.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5
41.5¢$6.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 219.5
58.0¢$6.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.