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Pistons vs. Wizards

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: 5 minutesLiquidity: $425.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $97.4KEvent: Pistons vs. Wizards

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

79.5¢
Pistons
20.5¢
Wizards
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection12Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:115 trades$39.5K trackedsource coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Pistons · $2.5K net·2 wallets·$2.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPistons$5.5K@ 80¢·0x2b3e…a3b7

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Pistons pressure: $4.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$4.8K
6h
+$4.8K
tracked
$39.5K

2 verified profitable wallets: Pistons · $2.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Pistons or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-13 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons".

•If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to "Wizards".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Pistons and Wizards, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons". If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to "Wizards". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x4924…37822 linked markets · $133.6K gross
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh2 linked markets · $35.7K gross
JoeyAroyyOO2 linked markets · $11.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pistons; negative values favor Wizards. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPistons · $4.8K
6hPistons · $4.8K
24hPistons · $34.6K

Pistons price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pistons price. Wizards fills are converted to the complementary Pistons probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current79.5¢
VWAP 24h79.17¢▲ above by 0.3pp
VWAP 7d79.16¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pistons price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$12.7K
75¢
← now
$27.2K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
48.5¢$107.0Kpriority63Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 221.5
53.5¢$56.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5
50.5¢$22.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)
53.5¢$20.8Kpriority56Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 220.5
55.5¢$17.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Pistons (-11.5)
45.5¢$7.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5
41.5¢$6.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 219.5
58.0¢$6.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.