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Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026?

● quote 38s ago
Finance→Tech→Culture→Closes: about 2 monthsLiquidity: $42.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $25.3KEvent: Jensen Huang divorce by...?

Indicative prices · 38s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

9.5¢
YES
90.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution83Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 54%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:36 trades$3.6K trackedsource coverage 14%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 273 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO · $14.5K net·5 wallets·$28.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNO$8.5K@ 91¢·allen114

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$1
tracked
$3.6K

5 verified profitable wallets: NO · $14.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 54% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 273 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2027-01-01 04:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jensen or Lori Huang file for divorce or announce their definitive intention to divorce by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jensen or Lori Huang file for divorce or announce their definitive intention to divorce by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement from either Lori or Jensen Huang, or their official authorized representatives, of their definitive intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when or whether the divorce ultimately occurs. Announcements that they are considering or open to a divorce will not qualify. The resolution source will be statements from Jensen Huang and/or Lori Huang, and their representatives, as well as relevant court records; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $0
6hYES · $1
24hNO · $3.0K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current9.5¢
VWAP 24h9.09¢▲ above by 0.4pp
VWAP 7d10.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$2
10¢
$42.0K
5¢
← now
$27.9K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 10¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

allen114No$14.5K
BUY VWAP 91.41¢·2 fills
JJoNo$12.4K
BUY VWAP 89.63¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.