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Set Handicap: Linda Noskova (-1.5) vs Jessica Pegula (+1.5)

● quote 790 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 5 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $5.5KEvent: WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Linda Noskova

Indicative prices · 790 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

31.0¢
Linda Noskova
69.0¢
Jessica Pegula
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution56Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%
24h sample:3 trades$1.5K trackedsource coverage 28%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 70 min agoofficial metadata 8 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJessica Pegula$1.5K@ 70¢·0x1fb4…c2c4

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$36
tracked
$1.5K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 790 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 70 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-17 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Linda Noskova" if Linda Noskova wins by 2 or more sets than Jessica Pegula, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Jessica Pegula."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Linda Noskova can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Jessica Pegula."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Linda Noskova and Jessica Pegula in the WTA Finals, Group A, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Linda Noskova" if Linda Noskova wins by 2 or more sets than Jessica Pegula, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Jessica Pegula." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Linda Noskova can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Jessica Pegula." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x1fb4…c2c42 linked markets · $1.7K gross
0x8395…84c22 linked markets · $611 gross
0xd6f9…e95d2 linked markets · $393 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Linda Noskova; negative values favor Jessica Pegula. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLinda Noskova · $0
6hLinda Noskova · $36
24hJessica Pegula · $1.5K

Linda Noskova price VWAP

Volume-weighted Linda Noskova price. Jessica Pegula fills are converted to the complementary Linda Noskova probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current31.0¢
VWAP 24h30.12¢▲ above by 0.9pp
VWAP 7d30.12¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Linda Noskova price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$2
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
← now
$1.5K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Linda Noskova
68.5¢$1.1Mpriority55Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Jessica Pegula vs Linda Noskova
99.95¢$17.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Jessica Pegula (-1.5) vs Linda Noskova (+1.5)
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Set 2 Winner: Jessica Pegula vs Linda Noskova
45.5¢$4.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jessica Pegula vs. Linda Noskova: Total Sets O/U 2.5
50.0¢$778priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pegula vs. Noskova: Match O/U 23.5
82.0¢$719priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pegula vs. Noskova: Match O/U 21.5
99.55¢$341priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pegula vs. Noskova: Match O/U 22.5
50.0¢$275priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.