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Set 1 Winner: Jessica Pegula vs Linda Noskova

● quote 6 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 5 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $17.3KEvent: WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Linda Noskova

Polymarket indicative prices · 9 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.95¢
Jessica Pegula
0.05¢
Linda Noskova
—
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection22Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 54%
24h sample:10 trades$2.8K trackedsource coverage 16%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 36 min agoofficial metadata 9 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLinda Noskova$1.4K@ 61¢·0xbc20…2d0d

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$606
6h
−$631
tracked
$2.8K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 54% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 6 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 36 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-17 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Jessica Pegula” if Jessica Pegula wins the first set. It will resolve to “Linda Noskova” if Linda Noskova wins the first set.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jessica Pegula and Linda Noskova in the WTA Finals, Group A, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Jessica Pegula” if Jessica Pegula wins the first set. It will resolve to “Linda Noskova” if Linda Noskova wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x1fb4…c2c42 linked markets · $1.7K gross
0x8395…84c22 linked markets · $611 gross
0xd6f9…e95d2 linked markets · $393 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jessica Pegula; negative values favor Linda Noskova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJessica Pegula · $606
6hLinda Noskova · $631
24hLinda Noskova · $631

Jessica Pegula price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jessica Pegula price. Linda Noskova fills are converted to the complementary Jessica Pegula probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.95¢
VWAP 24h51.95¢▲ above by 48.0pp
VWAP 7d51.95¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jessica Pegula price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$222
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$13
70¢
$20
65¢
$0
60¢
$918
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$178
40¢
$70
35¢
$1.4K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Linda Noskova
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Set Handicap: Jessica Pegula (-1.5) vs Linda Noskova (+1.5)
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Set Handicap: Linda Noskova (-1.5) vs Jessica Pegula (+1.5)
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Set 2 Winner: Jessica Pegula vs Linda Noskova
45.5¢$4.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jessica Pegula vs. Linda Noskova: Total Sets O/U 2.5
50.0¢$778priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pegula vs. Noskova: Match O/U 23.5
82.0¢$719priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pegula vs. Noskova: Match O/U 21.5
99.55¢$341priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pegula vs. Noskova: Match O/U 22.5
50.0¢$275priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.