Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)

Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $5.9KEvent: Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs

Polymarket indicative prices · 14 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

19.5¢
Natus Vincere
80.5¢
Yellow Submarine
—
Spread
anomaly100direction3wallets33execution0priority0data 52%💡 1 smart
24h sample:7 trades$492 trackedsource coverage 8%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 19 min agoofficial metadata 14 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$15
6h
−$73
tracked
$492

1 verified profitable wallet: Yellow Submarine · $14 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 52% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 19 minutes old.
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-04 17:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere wins 2 or more games than Yellow Submarine in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Final match between Yellow Submarine and Natus Vincere in the EPL Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere wins 2 or more games than Yellow Submarine in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 4, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining games required to decide the match, including a game in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 29m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe16d…5e303 linked markets · $7.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Lifecycleresolving

Signed Order Flow

1hYellow Submarine · $15
6hYellow Submarine · $73
24hYellow Submarine · $73

Natus Vincere price VWAP

Current19.5¢
VWAP 24h47.42¢▼ below by 27.9pp
VWAP 7d47.42¢
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

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Natus Vincere price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$211
45¢
$268
40¢
$0
35¢
$6
30¢
$0
25¢
$7
20¢
$0
15¢
← now
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.