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Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $96.8KEvent: Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

68.5¢
Yellow Submarine
31.5¢
Natus Vincere
3.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection31Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets66Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority61Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 79%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:33 trades$16.4K trackedsource coverage 17%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Natus Vincere · $1.0K net·2 wallets·$1.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYellow Submarine$2.3K@ 52¢·dadada22

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Natus Vincere SETUP
What the tape says

Natus Vincere pressure: $5.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$5.0K
6h
−$6.0K
tracked
$16.4K

2 verified profitable wallets: Natus Vincere · $1.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
3.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 79% · priority 61

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Natus Vincere or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-04 17:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine" if Yellow Submarine win Game 1 against Natus Vincere.

•This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 1 against Yellow Submarine.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Final match between Yellow Submarine and Natus Vincere in the EPL Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine" if Yellow Submarine win Game 1 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 1 against Yellow Submarine. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 4, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 20m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe16d…5e303 linked markets · $7.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Natus Vincere UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $225 → $905 · 6s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Yellow Submarine; negative values favor Natus Vincere. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNatus Vincere · $5.0K
6hNatus Vincere · $6.0K
24hNatus Vincere · $6.0K

Yellow Submarine price VWAP

Volume-weighted Yellow Submarine price. Natus Vincere fills are converted to the complementary Yellow Submarine probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current68.5¢
VWAP 24h42.4¢▲ above by 26.1pp
VWAP 7d42.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Yellow Submarine price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
← now
$0
60¢
$749
55¢
$0
50¢
$5.7K
45¢
$3.2K
40¢
$57
35¢
$0
30¢
$2.3K
25¢
$4.4K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.