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Spread: Heat (-6.5)

Sports→BasketballSettlement: ClippersLiquidity: $99.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $100.2KEvent: Heat vs. Clippers
0.0¢
Heat payout
100.0¢
Clippers payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Clippers · $987 net·3 wallets·$1.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHeat$14.1K@ 47¢·TMingchan

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Clippers. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-05 03:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Heat" if the Heat win the game by 7 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Clippers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Clippers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Heat and Clippers, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Heat" if the Heat win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Clippers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Clippers". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 6d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 6d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoi5 linked markets · $162.5K gross
ch27er2 linked markets · $77.7K gross
takeormake4 linked markets · $48.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Heat@ 49.0¢6d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -39.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Heat; negative values favor Clippers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHeat · $0
6hHeat · $24.7K
24hHeat · $24.6K

Heat price VWAP

Volume-weighted Heat price. Clippers fills are converted to the complementary Heat probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h47.83¢▼ below by 47.8pp
VWAP 7d47.83¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Heat price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$35
60¢
$6
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$40.9K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$61
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$18
5¢
$14
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYHeat$14.1K@ 47.0¢
TMingchan0xe567…4fcb
🐋—6 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

mooseborzoiHeat$18.6K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·4 fills
TMingchanHeat$14.1K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.