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Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 7 hoursLiquidity: $190.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $415.6KEvent: Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

31.5¢
Heroic
68.5¢
Team Falcons
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection10Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets89Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority68Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 88%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:95 trades$225.7K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 54%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Heroic · $31.5K net·4 wallets·$35.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Falcons$84.4K@ 69¢·qiu3

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Team Falcons SETUP
What the tape says

Team Falcons pressure: $21.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$21.5K
6h
+$16.8K
tracked
$225.7K

4 verified profitable wallets: Heroic · $31.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 88% · priority 68

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 7h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Team Falcons or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-04 10:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against Team Falcons.

•This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Heroic.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Semifinal 2 match between Heroic and Team Falcons in the IEM Beijing Group A, initially scheduled for November 3, 2026 at 11:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Heroic. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 3, 2026 at 11:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xc9bf…81c03 linked markets · $56.2K gross
0xa142…caf63 linked markets · $1.8K gross
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $1.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Team Falcons@ 69.0¢5m ago
Outcome checks pending

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Heroic; negative values favor Team Falcons. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Falcons · $21.5K
6hHeroic · $16.8K
24hHeroic · $14.3K

Heroic price VWAP

Volume-weighted Heroic price. Team Falcons fills are converted to the complementary Heroic probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current31.5¢
VWAP 24h31.03¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d31.03¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Heroic price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
← now
$192.9K
25¢
$32.9K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTeam Falcons$84.4K@ 69.0¢
qiu30x7f73…14f1
🐋—9 minutes ago
BUYHeroic$16.0K@ 32.0¢
Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl0x549b…c0ae
🐋—9 minutes ago
BUYHeroic$48.0K@ 32.0¢
Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl0x549b…c0ae
🐋—17 minutes ago
SELLTeam Falcons$12.8K@ 71.0¢
FeedTheBigBird0x84ec…72c1
🐋—about 5 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)
40.5¢$66.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner
38.5¢$9.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Heroic (+3.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Heroic (+3.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 2.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

qiu3Team Falcons$84.4K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·1 fill
Thunderous-Authoritarian-SnarlHeroic$64.0K
BUY VWAP 32.0¢·2 fills
0xc9bf…81c0Heroic$32.5K
BUY VWAP 30.90¢·11 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.