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Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 7 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $9.9KEvent: Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A

Polymarket indicative prices · 14 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

38.5¢
Heroic
61.5¢
Team Falcons
—
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 65%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:8 trades$5.9K trackedsource coverage 60%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 14 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Falcons$1.7K@ 61¢·0xe907…cff6

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$185
6h
−$1.2K
tracked
$5.9K

1 verified profitable wallet: Team Falcons · $1.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 65% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Less than 7h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-04 10:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win Map 1 against Team Falcons.

•This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 1 against Heroic.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Semifinal 2 match between Heroic and Team Falcons in the IEM Beijing Group A, initially scheduled for November 3, 2026 at 11:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win Map 1 against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 1 against Heroic. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 3, 2026 at 11:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xc9bf…81c03 linked markets · $56.2K gross
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $1.8K gross
0xa142…caf63 linked markets · $1.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Heroic; negative values favor Team Falcons. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Falcons · $185
6hTeam Falcons · $1.2K
24hTeam Falcons · $2.6K

Heroic price VWAP

Volume-weighted Heroic price. Team Falcons fills are converted to the complementary Heroic probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current38.5¢
VWAP 24h37.93¢▲ above by 0.6pp
VWAP 7d37.93¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Heroic price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$1.6K
35¢
← now
$4.4K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
31.5¢$415.6Kpriority66Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)
40.5¢$66.1Kpriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Heroic (+3.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Heroic (+3.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 2.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.