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Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maya Joint vs Maria Sakkari

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $39.8KEvent: Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maya Joint vs Maria Sakkari

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

58.5¢
Maya Joint
41.5¢
Maria Sakkari
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection22Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets49Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority54Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 82%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:27 trades$12.4K trackedsource coverage 27%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Maria Sakkari · $17 net·2 wallets·$23 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMaria Sakkari$3.0K@ 83¢·0xcac0…e2da

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Maria Sakkari pressure: $2.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$2.3K
6h
−$3.7K
tracked
$12.4K

2 verified profitable wallets: Maria Sakkari · $17 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 82% · priority 54

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Maria Sakkari or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-11 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Maya Joint and Maria Sakkari in the Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maya Joint' if Maya Joint advances against Maria Sakkari. This market will resolve to 'Maria Sakkari' if Maria Sakkari advances against Maya Joint. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Maya Joint DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $70.2K → $23.5K · 24s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Maya Joint; negative values favor Maria Sakkari. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMaria Sakkari · $2.3K
6hMaria Sakkari · $3.7K
24hMaria Sakkari · $3.7K

Maya Joint price VWAP

Volume-weighted Maya Joint price. Maria Sakkari fills are converted to the complementary Maya Joint probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current58.5¢
VWAP 24h38.35¢▲ above by 20.1pp
VWAP 7d38.35¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Maya Joint price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$1.7K
60¢
$1.2K
55¢
← now
$3.4K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$1.5K
30¢
$21
25¢
$14
20¢
$1.5K
15¢
$3.0K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Maria Sakkari (-1.5) vs Maya Joint (+1.5)
17.0¢$1.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Joint vs. Sakkari: Match O/U 21.5
65.0¢$1.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Maya Joint vs Maria Sakkari
79.5¢$497priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Maria Sakkari (-3.5) vs Maya Joint (+3.5)
50.0¢$56priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Maya Joint (-1.5) vs Maria Sakkari (+1.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Joint vs. Sakkari: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
99.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Joint vs. Sakkari: Match O/U 22.5
58.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Joint vs. Sakkari: Match O/U 23.5
67.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.