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Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- - Game 2 Winner

● quote 12s ago
Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: 11 minutesLiquidity: $37.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $170.0KEvent: Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C

Indicative prices · 12s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

49.85¢
potn9ki
50.15¢
HellNight-
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection36Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution88Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority60Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 78%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:76 trades$27.6K trackedsource coverage 14%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLHellNight-$7.0K@ 100¢·DotG

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW HellNight- SETUP
What the tape says

HellNight- pressure: $8.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$8.5K
6h
−$7.3K
tracked
$27.6K

1 verified profitable wallet: HellNight- · $976 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 78% · priority 60

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from HellNight- or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-02 18:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "potn9ki" if potn9ki win Game 2 against HellNight-.

•This market will resolve to "HellNight-" if HellNight- win Game 2 against potn9ki.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between potn9ki and HellNight- in the Esports Pro Circuit Group C, initially scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "potn9ki" if potn9ki win Game 2 against HellNight-. This market will resolve to "HellNight-" if HellNight- win Game 2 against potn9ki. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 16, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 2, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 5h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
DotG2 linked markets · $43.6K gross
oceandrivefan2 linked markets · $19.3K gross
0xe32a…a0ed2 linked markets · $6.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: potn9ki DOWN 20.4pp · near-book depth $489 → $2.0K · 28s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor potn9ki; negative values favor HellNight-. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHellNight- · $8.5K
6hHellNight- · $7.3K
24hHellNight- · $7.3K

potn9ki price VWAP

Volume-weighted potn9ki price. HellNight- fills are converted to the complementary potn9ki probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current49.85¢
VWAP 24h28.14¢▲ above by 21.7pp
VWAP 7d28.14¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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potn9ki price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$204
45¢
← now
$14.1K
40¢
$379
35¢
$742
30¢
$0
25¢
$2.3K
20¢
$519
15¢
$2.0K
10¢
$233
5¢
$66
0¢
$7.0K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.