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Set 2 Winner: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana

● quote 609 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $1.3KEvent: Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana

Indicative prices · 609 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Venus Williams
—
Mary Stoiana
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 55%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:3 trades$235 trackedsource coverage 18%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 139 min agoofficial metadata 124 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$165
tracked
$235

1 verified profitable wallet: Venus Williams · $35 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 55% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote is 609 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 139 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-09 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Venus Williams” if Venus Williams wins set 2. It will resolve to “Mary Stoiana” if Mary Stoiana wins set 2.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Venus Williams and Mary Stoiana in the Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Venus Williams” if Venus Williams wins set 2. It will resolve to “Mary Stoiana” if Mary Stoiana wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Venus Williams; negative values favor Mary Stoiana. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hVenus Williams · $0
6hMary Stoiana · $165
24hMary Stoiana · $165

Venus Williams price VWAP

Volume-weighted Venus Williams price. Mary Stoiana fills are converted to the complementary Venus Williams probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h25.15¢
VWAP 7d25.15¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Venus Williams price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$200
20¢
$0
15¢
$35
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana
—$426.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Mary Stoiana (-5.5) vs Venus Williams (+5.5)
—$403priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Mary Stoiana (-1.5) vs Venus Williams (+1.5)
68.0¢$69priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Williams vs. Stoiana: Match O/U 21.5
—$26priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Venus Williams vs. Mary Stoiana: Total Sets O/U 2.5
—$6priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Williams vs. Stoiana: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Williams vs. Stoiana: Match O/U 22.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Williams vs. Stoiana: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.