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Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?

Crypto→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $160.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $656.1KEvent: Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?

Indicative prices · 11 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.85¢
Up
0.15¢
Down
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:9 trades$241.8K tracked44% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 16 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUp$119.9K@ 100¢·pelik

Decision read paused

Market status is DISPUTED. No executable setup is shown until trading is open again.

DISPUTED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
DISPUTED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-02 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Nov 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Nov 2 '26 12:00 ET candle.

•This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Nov 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Nov 2 '26 12:00 ET candle.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Nov 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Nov 2 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Nov 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Nov 2 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market disputed · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.disputed

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Up; negative values favor Down. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDown · $2.2K
6hUp · $227.6K
24hUp · $227.6K

Up price VWAP

Volume-weighted Up price. Down fills are converted to the complementary Up probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.85¢
VWAP 24h99.76¢▲ above by 0.1pp
VWAP 7d99.52¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Up price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$241.8K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$1.2K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYUp$23.9K@ 99.8¢
kaanha0x4060…3ec3
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYUp$119.9K@ 99.88¢
pelik0x6a88…b859
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYUp$25.3K@ 99.8¢
kaanha0x4060…3ec3
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYUp$60.8K@ 99.66¢
kaanha0x4060…3ec3
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

pelikUp$119.9K
BUY VWAP 99.88¢·1 fill
kaanhaUp$110.1K
BUY VWAP 99.72¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.