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Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?

Crypto→Token LaunchCloses: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $1.9MOfficial 24h Vol: $1.7MEvent: Will 1win launch a token by ___?

Indicative prices · 2 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.95¢
YES
0.05¢
NO
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:174 trades$714.3K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 38 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES · $56.2K net·7 wallets(1🐋)·$100.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYES$211.3K@ 100¢·033033033

Decision read paused

Market status is DISPUTED. No executable setup is shown until trading is open again.

DISPUTED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
DISPUTED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-01 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Yes" if 1win officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 1win officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by 1win after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from 1win (https://x.com/1winToken), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 16h ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY YES@ 95.6¢14h ago
15m STALLED -1.5pp1h CONFIRMED +3.4pp6h CONFIRMED +4.1pp
Latest book event: NO UP 5.4pp · near-book depth $11 → $176 · 7s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market disputed · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.disputed

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNO · $110
6hNO · $55.2K
24hYES · $420.4K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.95¢
VWAP 24h96.75¢▲ above by 3.2pp
VWAP 7d96.55¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$654.5K
90¢
$16.4K
85¢
$13.2K
80¢
$3.4K
75¢
$786
70¢
$0
65¢
$4.5K
60¢
$9.5K
55¢
$1.4K
50¢
$0
45¢
$1.0K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$1.1K
10¢
$0
5¢
$8.5K
0¢
$1.5K

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLYES$14.0K@ 99.9¢0x7e30…e8f5🐋—about 5 hours ago
SELLYES$26.6K@ 99.9¢
Unfinished-July0x3666…aab6
🐋—about 6 hours ago
SELLYES$20.6K@ 99.9¢
Car0x7c3d…5c6b
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYYES$211.3K@ 99.9¢
0330330330xd1c7…1d2b
🐋—about 8 hours ago
SELLYES$10.4K@ 99.8¢
wagwanshawty0xe571…f17b
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYYES$23.0K@ 99.48¢
roundtripped0x82cf…0998
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYYES$15.3K@ 99.32¢
Car0x7c3d…5c6b
🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYYES$23.7K@ 99.2¢
GlobalMuffin0xff1e…5e2d
🐋—about 14 hours ago
BUYYES$11.3K@ 96.99¢
wagwanshawty0xe571…f17b
🐋—about 14 hours ago
BUYYES$19.2K@ 96.16¢
Vps10xb2d2…3910
🐋—about 15 hours ago
BUYYES$19.5K@ 97.6¢
Vps10xb2d2…3910
🐋—about 15 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

033033033Yes$211.3K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
GlobalMuffinYes$49.1K
BUY VWAP 99.08¢·10 fills
scoutYes$39.4K
BUY VWAP 93.47¢·8 fills
Vps1Yes$38.8K
BUY VWAP 96.88¢·2 fills
CarYes$35.2K
BUY VWAP 97.93¢·8 fills
davisb12Yes$32.6K
BUY VWAP 99.74¢·7 fills
roundtrippedYes$23.0K
BUY VWAP 99.48¢·1 fill
wagwanshawtyYes$19.2K
BUY VWAP 93.69¢·5 fills
yen4uYes$18.4K
BUY VWAP 98.91¢·4 fills
0x7e30…e8f5Yes$13.8K
BUY VWAP 98.89¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.