Set Handicap: Rafael Jodar (-1.5) vs Alejandro Tabilo (+1.5)
Indicative prices · 318 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.
Decision read
Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.
1 verified profitable wallet: Rafael Jodar · $37 net over 7d.
A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.
Data confidence 57% · priority 0
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
- •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
- •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
- •Executable quote is 318 minutes old.
- •Observed tape is 422 minutes old.
Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.
Resolution & market truth
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
•This market will resolve to "Rafael Jodar" if Rafael Jodar wins by 2 or more sets than Alejandro Tabilo, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Alejandro Tabilo."
•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Rafael Jodar can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Alejandro Tabilo."
Read full resolution rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Alejandro Tabilo in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Rafael Jodar" if Rafael Jodar wins by 2 or more sets than Alejandro Tabilo, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Alejandro Tabilo." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Rafael Jodar can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Alejandro Tabilo." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.
Evidence receipts
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Outcome Price History
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Rafael Jodar price VWAP
Largest holders
Rafael Jodar price Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
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Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.