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Set 1 Winner: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka

Sports→TennisSettlement: Jiri LeheckaLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $5.7KEvent: Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka
0.0¢
Alex Michelsen payout
100.0¢
Jiri Lehecka payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:2 trades$692 trackedsource coverage 12%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 49 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Jiri Lehecka. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-09 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Alex Michelsen” if Alex Michelsen wins the first set. It will resolve to “Jiri Lehecka” if Jiri Lehecka wins the first set.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Jiri Lehecka in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Alex Michelsen” if Alex Michelsen wins the first set. It will resolve to “Jiri Lehecka” if Jiri Lehecka wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 11m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 11m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alex Michelsen; negative values favor Jiri Lehecka. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlex Michelsen · $500
6hAlex Michelsen · $308
24hAlex Michelsen · $308

Alex Michelsen price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alex Michelsen price. Jiri Lehecka fills are converted to the complementary Alex Michelsen probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h13.96¢▼ below by 14.0pp
VWAP 7d13.96¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alex Michelsen price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$192
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$500

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka
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Set Handicap: Jiri Lehecka (-1.5) vs Alex Michelsen (+1.5)
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Set 2 Winner: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka
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Michelsen vs. Lehecka: Match O/U 23.5
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Michelsen vs. Lehecka: Match O/U 22.5
99.55¢$346priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Alex Michelsen vs. Jiri Lehecka: Total Sets O/U 2.5
99.5¢$159priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Michelsen vs. Lehecka: Match O/U 21.5
99.55¢$38priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Jiri Lehecka (-2.5) vs Alex Michelsen (+2.5)
1.65¢$5priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.