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Spread: Rockets (-2.5)

Sports→BasketballSettlement: RocketsLiquidity: $851.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.3MEvent: Thunder vs. Rockets
100.0¢
Rockets payout
0.0¢
Thunder payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRockets$86.9K@ 52¢·googleplay

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Rockets. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-01 00:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Rockets" if the Rockets win the game by 3 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Thunder".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 31 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rockets" if the Rockets win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 7d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 7d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Thunder@ 47.0¢7d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h INVALIDATED -29.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Thunder@ 47.0¢7d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h INVALIDATED -29.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
POSITION CHANGEBUY Rockets@ 53.0¢7d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h CONFIRMED +31.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY Rockets@ 53.0¢7d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +28.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Rockets; negative values favor Thunder. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hThunder · $1.2K
6hRockets · $180.4K
24hRockets · $185.5K

Rockets price VWAP

Volume-weighted Rockets price. Thunder fills are converted to the complementary Rockets probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h52.47¢▲ above by 47.5pp
VWAP 7d52.47¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Rockets price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$1.3K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$37
55¢
$2
50¢
$593.3K
45¢
$24.6K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYThunder$24.9K@ 47.0¢
Painfulvoid0xd696…8a49
🐋—7 days ago
BUYRockets$25.0K@ 53.0¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—7 days ago
BUYRockets$18.3K@ 53.0¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—7 days ago
BUYRockets$50.3K@ 53.0¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—7 days ago
BUYRockets$54.3K@ 53.0¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—7 days ago
BUYRockets$56.0K@ 53.0¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—7 days ago
BUYRockets$71.5K@ 53.0¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—7 days ago
BUYRockets$86.9K@ 52.0¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—7 days ago
BUYThunder$24.5K@ 49.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—7 days ago
BUYThunder$12.8K@ 51.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—8 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.