Cavaliers vs. Heat

● quote just now

Sports→BasketballCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $845.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $172.9KEvent: Cavaliers vs. Heat

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

43.5¢

Cavaliers

56.5¢

Heat

1.0¢

Spread

anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection21Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:79 trades$79.8K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 17 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHeat$16.3K@ 56¢·Lakersfan111

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

Heat pressure: $16.2K net directional flow in 1h.

−$16.2K

−$32.1K

tracked

$79.8K

1 verified profitable wallet: Heat · $2.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?

1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Observed tape is 17 minutes old.
•Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Heat or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-11-14 01:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/

Outcome meaning

•If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers".

•If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Cavaliers and Heat, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

Lakersfan1113 linked markets · $27.6K gross

quavoo3 linked markets · $11.4K gross

mooseborzoi2 linked markets · $7.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Heat@ 57.0¢22m ago

15m STALLED -1.0pp

LARGE FLOWBUY Heat@ 56.0¢2h ago

15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

LARGE FLOWBUY Cavaliers@ 45.0¢2h ago

15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cavaliers; negative values favor Heat. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hHeat · $16.2K

6hHeat · $32.1K

24hHeat · $27.0K

Cavaliers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cavaliers price. Heat fills are converted to the complementary Cavaliers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current43.5¢

VWAP 24h44.25¢▼ below by 0.8pp

VWAP 7d44.26¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cavaliers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

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