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Set Handicap: Harriet Dart (-1.5) vs Xinran Sun (+1.5)

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $453Event: Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart

Polymarket indicative prices · 4 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.45¢
YES
99.55¢
NO
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 0%

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$0

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 0% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Only 0 tracked trades / 0 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Tracked source coverage is only 0%.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-07 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Harriet Dart" if Harriet Dart wins by 2 or more sets than Xinran Sun, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Xinran Sun."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Harriet Dart can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Xinran Sun."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Harriet Dart and Xinran Sun in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Harriet Dart" if Harriet Dart wins by 2 or more sets than Xinran Sun, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Xinran Sun." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Harriet Dart can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Xinran Sun." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
SeventyPercentPlus2 linked markets · $9.3K gross
0xd6f9…e95d2 linked markets · $2.0K gross
0xdbdd…a5de2 linked markets · $205 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $0
6hYES · $0
24hYES · $0
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart
63.5¢$432.8Kpriority56Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart
37.0¢$17.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart
99.95¢$13.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sun vs. Dart: Match O/U 21.5
88.0¢$3.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Harriet Dart (-1.5) vs Xinran Sun (+1.5)
50.0¢$128priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Xinran Sun vs. Harriet Dart: Total Sets O/U 2.5
63.5¢$108priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sun vs. Dart: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
99.95¢$28priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sun vs. Dart: Match O/U 22.5
50.0¢$13priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.