PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Set 1 Winner: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $13.5KEvent: Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart

Polymarket indicative prices · 9 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.95¢
Xinran Sun
0.05¢
Harriet Dart
—
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection88Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%
24h sample:6 trades$5.1K trackedsource coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 23 min agoofficial metadata 9 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLXinran Sun$4.7K@ 100¢·SeventyPercentPlus

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Harriet Dart pressure: $4.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$4.5K
6h
−$4.3K
tracked
$5.1K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 23 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Harriet Dart or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-07 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Xinran Sun” if Xinran Sun wins the first set. It will resolve to “Harriet Dart” if Harriet Dart wins the first set.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Xinran Sun and Harriet Dart in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Xinran Sun” if Xinran Sun wins the first set. It will resolve to “Harriet Dart” if Harriet Dart wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
SeventyPercentPlus2 linked markets · $9.3K gross
0xd6f9…e95d2 linked markets · $2.0K gross
0xdbdd…a5de2 linked markets · $205 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Xinran Sun; negative values favor Harriet Dart. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHarriet Dart · $4.5K
6hHarriet Dart · $4.3K
24hHarriet Dart · $4.3K

Xinran Sun price VWAP

Volume-weighted Xinran Sun price. Harriet Dart fills are converted to the complementary Xinran Sun probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.95¢
VWAP 24h95.95¢▲ above by 4.0pp
VWAP 7d95.95¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Xinran Sun price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$4.7K
90¢
$100
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$1
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$20
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$232
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart
63.5¢$432.8Kpriority56Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart
37.0¢$17.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sun vs. Dart: Match O/U 21.5
88.0¢$3.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Harriet Dart (-1.5) vs Xinran Sun (+1.5)
0.45¢$453priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Harriet Dart (-1.5) vs Xinran Sun (+1.5)
50.0¢$128priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Xinran Sun vs. Harriet Dart: Total Sets O/U 2.5
63.5¢$108priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sun vs. Dart: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
99.95¢$28priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sun vs. Dart: Match O/U 22.5
50.0¢$13priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.