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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $1.1MOfficial 24h Vol: $838.0KEvent: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.95¢
Team Spirit
0.05¢
PARIVISION
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection23Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets12Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 23 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:318 trades$303.9K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 53s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:PARIVISION · $6.3K net·23 wallets(1🐋)·$53.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTeam Spirit$14.3K@ 100¢·notailnotail

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Team Spirit pressure: $68.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$68.6K
6h
+$40.6K
tracked
$303.9K

23 verified profitable wallets: PARIVISION · $6.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Team Spirit or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-30 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 2 against PARIVISION.

•This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win Game 2 against Team Spirit.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Quarterfinal 2 match between Team Spirit and PARIVISION in the PARI Universe Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 2 against PARIVISION. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win Game 2 against Team Spirit. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 30, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 3h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
madar782 linked markets · $61.4K gross
0xe16d…5e303 linked markets · $47.0K gross
GameGambleStakes2 linked markets · $46.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: PARIVISION DOWN 5.5pp · near-book depth $20 → $698 · 6s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Spirit; negative values favor PARIVISION. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Spirit · $68.6K
6hTeam Spirit · $40.6K
24hTeam Spirit · $40.6K

Team Spirit price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Spirit price. PARIVISION fills are converted to the complementary Team Spirit probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.95¢
VWAP 24h70.43¢▲ above by 29.5pp
VWAP 7d70.43¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Team Spirit price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$71.3K
90¢
$24.1K
85¢
$24.0K
80¢
$10.8K
75¢
$10.4K
70¢
$25.5K
65¢
$11.4K
60¢
$7.5K
55¢
$8.6K
50¢
$8.1K
45¢
$15.7K
40¢
$74.2K
35¢
$12.3K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTeam Spirit$12.2K@ 99.9¢
oceandrivefan0x61b4…e1b3
🐋—13 minutes ago
SELLTeam Spirit$14.3K@ 99.9¢
notailnotail0x8d85…c436
🐋—16 minutes ago
BUYPARIVISION$10.8K@ 60.31¢
fantasy77880x0259…769e
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

madar78Team Spirit$23.9K
BUY VWAP 69.62¢·12 fills
0xe16d…5e30Team Spirit$18.0K
BUY VWAP 42.49¢·8 fills
blackmoldPARIVISION$16.9K
BUY VWAP 58.77¢·4 fills
MedoD3PTeam Spirit$11.7K
BUY VWAP 42.17¢·2 fills
fantasy7788PARIVISION$10.9K
BUY VWAP 60.32¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.