Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
● quote 97 min ago
Politics→Closes: 5 monthsLiquidity: $117.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $200.1KEvent: Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
43.5¢
YES
56.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution86Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%
24h sample:3 trades$50.3K tracked33% 🐋source coverage 25%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 196 min agoofficial metadata 101 min ago
Decision read
Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
What the tape says
No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.
1h
$0
6h
+$49.7K
tracked
$50.3K
No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.
Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread
Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.
Data confidence 56% · priority 0
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
Risks / missing evidence
- •Executable quote is 97 minutes old.
- •Observed tape is 196 minutes old.
- •Official market metadata is 101 minutes old.
Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus independent-wallet confirmation.
Price History
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…
Signals Trend
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.1h+$0
6h+$49.7K
24h+$49.7K
YES-equivalent VWAP
Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.Current43.5¢
VWAP 24h54.9¢▼ below by 11.4pp
VWAP 7d54.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.
Largest holders
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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d
95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$50.0K
50¢
$5
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$30035¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0
VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
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Verified directional wallets · 7d
No smart wallet activity