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Set Handicap: Alexander Zverev (-1.5) vs Tallon Griekspoor (+1.5)

Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $18.3KEvent: Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Alexander Zverev
—
Tallon Griekspoor
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 53%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:7 trades$2.1K trackedsource coverage 11%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 869 min agoofficial metadata 866 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alexander Zverev · $13 net·2 wallets·$13 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTallon Griekspoor$2.0K@ 49¢·0xb29b…d21b

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$2.1K

2 verified profitable wallets: Alexander Zverev · $13 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 53% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 869 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-05 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Alexander Zverev" if Alexander Zverev wins by 2 or more sets than Tallon Griekspoor, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Tallon Griekspoor."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Alexander Zverev can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Tallon Griekspoor."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Tallon Griekspoor in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Alexander Zverev" if Alexander Zverev wins by 2 or more sets than Tallon Griekspoor, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Tallon Griekspoor." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Alexander Zverev can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Tallon Griekspoor." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xbb79…2df22 linked markets · $45 gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $14 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alexander Zverev; negative values favor Tallon Griekspoor. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlexander Zverev · $0
6hAlexander Zverev · $0
24hTallon Griekspoor · $2.0K

Alexander Zverev price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alexander Zverev price. Tallon Griekspoor fills are converted to the complementary Alexander Zverev probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h51.86¢
VWAP 7d51.86¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alexander Zverev price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$32
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$10
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$2.0K
45¢
$30
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor
—$182.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Alexander Zverev (-3.5) vs Tallon Griekspoor (+3.5)
—$1.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Zverev vs. Griekspoor: Match O/U 22.5
—$1.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Alexander Zverev vs. Tallon Griekspoor: Total Sets O/U 2.5
—$182priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Zverev vs. Griekspoor: Match O/U 23.5
—$10priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor
—$9priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Zverev vs. Griekspoor: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Zverev vs. Griekspoor: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.