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Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor

● quote 817 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $139.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $182.9KEvent: Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor

Indicative prices · 817 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Alexander Zverev
0.1¢
Tallon Griekspoor
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:50 trades$68.9K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 832 min agoofficial metadata 822 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Tallon Griekspoor · $1.8K net·3 wallets·$1.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLAlexander Zverev$10.1K@ 100¢·casper7

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$68.9K

3 verified profitable wallets: Tallon Griekspoor · $1.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 817 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 832 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 822 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-05 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Tallon Griekspoor in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Tallon Griekspoor. This market will resolve to 'Tallon Griekspoor' if Tallon Griekspoor advances against Alexander Zverev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xbb79…2df22 linked markets · $45 gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $14 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Tallon Griekspoor DOWN 7.0pp · near-book depth $159 → $44 · 4s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alexander Zverev; negative values favor Tallon Griekspoor. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlexander Zverev · $0
6hAlexander Zverev · $0
24hTallon Griekspoor · $20.2K

Alexander Zverev price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alexander Zverev price. Tallon Griekspoor fills are converted to the complementary Alexander Zverev probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h89.49¢▲ above by 10.4pp
VWAP 7d89.39¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alexander Zverev price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$30.2K
90¢
$2.6K
85¢
$11.6K
80¢
$9.0K
75¢
$6.8K
70¢
$9.4K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLAlexander Zverev$10.1K@ 99.9¢
casper70x7efe…2e32
🐋—about 14 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Alexander Zverev (-1.5) vs Tallon Griekspoor (+1.5)
—$18.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Alexander Zverev (-3.5) vs Tallon Griekspoor (+3.5)
—$1.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Zverev vs. Griekspoor: Match O/U 22.5
—$1.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Alexander Zverev vs. Tallon Griekspoor: Total Sets O/U 2.5
—$182priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Zverev vs. Griekspoor: Match O/U 23.5
—$10priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor
—$9priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Zverev vs. Griekspoor: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Zverev vs. Griekspoor: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.