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M25 Norman, OK: Theo Papamalamis vs Alex Rybakov

Sports→TennisSettlement: Theo PapamalamisLiquidity: $35.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $84.6KEvent: M25 Norman, OK: Theo Papamalamis vs Alex Rybakov
100.0¢
Theo Papamalamis payout
0.0¢
Alex Rybakov payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Theo Papamalamis · $15.6K net·8 wallets·$36.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTheo Papamalamis$5.0K@ 81¢·xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Theo Papamalamis. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-04 16:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Theo Papamalamis and Alex Rybakov in the M25 Norman, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Theo Papamalamis' if Theo Papamalamis advances against Alex Rybakov. This market will resolve to 'Alex Rybakov' if Alex Rybakov advances against Theo Papamalamis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Theo Papamalamis@ 79.0¢1d ago
15m INVALIDATED -31.0pp1h INVALIDATED -29.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Theo Papamalamis; negative values favor Alex Rybakov. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTheo Papamalamis · $0
6hTheo Papamalamis · $0
24hTheo Papamalamis · $16.2K

Theo Papamalamis price VWAP

Volume-weighted Theo Papamalamis price. Alex Rybakov fills are converted to the complementary Theo Papamalamis probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h76.24¢▲ above by 23.8pp
VWAP 7d76.24¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Theo Papamalamis price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$12.5K
75¢
$13.5K
70¢
$369
65¢
$11.0K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$134
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjaseTheo Papamalamis$25.9K
BUY VWAP 80.38¢·10 fills
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjaseAlex Rybakov$10.4K
BUY VWAP 33.02¢·13 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.