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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs

● quote 15s ago
Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $492.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.2MEvent: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs

Indicative prices · 15s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.05¢
Team Spirit
99.95¢
OG
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection15Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets10Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 83%💡 22 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:343 trades$407.0K trackedsource coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Spirit · $5.5K net·22 wallets·$55.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLOG$16.3K@ 100¢·TheVeteran77

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Team Spirit pressure: $60.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$60.1K
6h
+$65.5K
tracked
$407.0K

22 verified profitable wallets: Team Spirit · $5.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 83% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: -70.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Team Spirit or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-28 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win the match against OG.

•This market will resolve to "OG" if OG win the match against Team Spirit.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 3 match between Team Spirit and OG in the PARI Universe Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win the match against OG. This market will resolve to "OG" if OG win the match against Team Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 6h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
madar783 linked markets · $84.6K gross
yanedaniil3 linked markets · $49.9K gross
0xe16d…5e303 linked markets · $39.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Team Spirit@ 71.0¢37m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: OG DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $732 → $11.3K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Spirit; negative values favor OG. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Spirit · $60.1K
6hTeam Spirit · $65.5K
24hTeam Spirit · $71.8K

Team Spirit price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Spirit price. OG fills are converted to the complementary Team Spirit probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.05¢
VWAP 24h41.99¢▼ below by 41.9pp
VWAP 7d41.99¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team Spirit price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$1.6K
85¢
$9.5K
80¢
$9.5K
75¢
$62
70¢
$31.1K
65¢
$63.8K
60¢
$19.1K
55¢
$51.3K
50¢
$43.7K
45¢
$18.0K
40¢
$5.4K
35¢
$0
30¢
$3.1K
25¢
$27.4K
20¢
$4.7K
15¢
$9.9K
10¢
$7.1K
5¢
$13.2K
0¢
← now
$91.7K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLOG$16.3K@ 99.9¢
TheVeteran770x6304…e570
🐋—7 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

madar78OG$15.9K
BUY VWAP 49.26¢·8 fills
0xe16d…5e30Team Spirit$12.7K
BUY VWAP 65.97¢·8 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.