Set Handicap: Diana Shnaider (-1.5) vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich (+1.5)

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $482Event: Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Diana Shnaider

Polymarket indicative prices · 3 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

68.0¢
Diana Shnaider
32.0¢
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
—
Spread
anomaly0direction0wallets0execution0priority0data 51%
24h sample:3 trades$18 trackedsource coverage 4%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 97 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$14
tracked
$18

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 51% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 97 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-04 04:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Diana Shnaider" if Diana Shnaider wins by 2 or more sets than Aliaksandra Sasnovich, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Aliaksandra Sasnovich."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Diana Shnaider can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Aliaksandra Sasnovich."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Diana Shnaider and Aliaksandra Sasnovich in the Pan Pacific Open, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Diana Shnaider" if Diana Shnaider wins by 2 or more sets than Aliaksandra Sasnovich, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Aliaksandra Sasnovich." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Diana Shnaider can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Aliaksandra Sasnovich." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $196 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

Lifecyclediscovery

Signed Order Flow

1hDiana Shnaider · $0
6hDiana Shnaider · $14
24hDiana Shnaider · $14

Diana Shnaider price VWAP

Current68.0¢
VWAP 24h53.0¢▲ above by 15.0pp
VWAP 7d53.0¢
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

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Diana Shnaider price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
← now
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$18
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Diana Shnaider
13.7¢$220.6Kpriority68
Set 2 Winner: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Diana Shnaider
36.0¢$1.6Kpriority0
Game Spread: Diana Shnaider (-4.5) vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich (+4.5)
50.0¢$202priority0
Sasnovich vs. Shnaider: Match O/U 21.5
53.5¢$95priority0
Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs. Diana Shnaider: Total Sets O/U 2.5
32.0¢$29priority0
Sasnovich vs. Shnaider: Match O/U 22.5
37.0¢$2priority0
Sasnovich vs. Shnaider: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
50.0¢—priority0
Sasnovich vs. Shnaider: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
99.5¢—priority0

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.