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Set 2 Winner: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Diana Shnaider

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $1.6KEvent: Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Diana Shnaider

Polymarket indicative prices · 5 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

36.0¢
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
64.0¢
Diana Shnaider
—
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection99Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%
24h sample:8 trades$372 trackedsource coverage 23%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$367
6h
−$367
tracked
$372

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-04 04:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Aliaksandra Sasnovich” if Aliaksandra Sasnovich wins set 2. It will resolve to “Diana Shnaider” if Diana Shnaider wins set 2.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Diana Shnaider in the Pan Pacific Open, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Aliaksandra Sasnovich” if Aliaksandra Sasnovich wins set 2. It will resolve to “Diana Shnaider” if Diana Shnaider wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $196 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Aliaksandra Sasnovich; negative values favor Diana Shnaider. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDiana Shnaider · $367
6hDiana Shnaider · $367
24hDiana Shnaider · $367

Aliaksandra Sasnovich price VWAP

Volume-weighted Aliaksandra Sasnovich price. Diana Shnaider fills are converted to the complementary Aliaksandra Sasnovich probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current36.0¢
VWAP 24h17.98¢▲ above by 18.0pp
VWAP 7d17.98¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Aliaksandra Sasnovich price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$2
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$1
40¢
$0
35¢
← now
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$195
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$73
5¢
$101
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Diana Shnaider
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Set Handicap: Diana Shnaider (-1.5) vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich (+1.5)
68.0¢$482priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Diana Shnaider (-4.5) vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich (+4.5)
50.0¢$202priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sasnovich vs. Shnaider: Match O/U 21.5
53.5¢$95priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs. Diana Shnaider: Total Sets O/U 2.5
32.0¢$29priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sasnovich vs. Shnaider: Match O/U 22.5
37.0¢$2priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sasnovich vs. Shnaider: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sasnovich vs. Shnaider: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
99.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.