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Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen

● quote 636 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $149.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $370.9KEvent: Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen

Indicative prices · 636 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Harriet Dart
0.1¢
Janice Tjen
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets14Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:183 trades$92.0K trackedsource coverage 25%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 652 min agoofficial metadata 637 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Harriet Dart · $3.0K net·13 wallets·$21.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHarriet Dart$5.7K@ 36¢·RN1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$92.0K

13 verified profitable wallets: Harriet Dart · $3.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 636 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 652 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 637 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-04 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Harriet Dart and Janice Tjen in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Harriet Dart' if Harriet Dart advances against Janice Tjen. This market will resolve to 'Janice Tjen' if Janice Tjen advances against Harriet Dart. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $1.9K gross
0x076d…8d4c2 linked markets · $90 gross
0xa0e0…0fcb2 linked markets · $20 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Harriet Dart UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $38.4K → $16.9K · 12s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Harriet Dart; negative values favor Janice Tjen. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHarriet Dart · $0
6hHarriet Dart · $0
24hJanice Tjen · $2.4K

Harriet Dart price VWAP

Volume-weighted Harriet Dart price. Janice Tjen fills are converted to the complementary Harriet Dart probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h61.44¢▲ above by 38.5pp
VWAP 7d61.44¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Harriet Dart price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$10.2K
90¢
$6.0K
85¢
$5.3K
80¢
$2.9K
75¢
$1.5K
70¢
$2.5K
65¢
$3.9K
60¢
$11.7K
55¢
$9.2K
50¢
$6.3K
45¢
$7.5K
40¢
$6.8K
35¢
$10.5K
30¢
$6.4K
25¢
$1.1K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesHarriet Dart$14.8K
BUY VWAP 62.55¢·13 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.