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Spread: Florida (-5.5)

Sports→American FootballSettlement: OklahomaLiquidity: $159.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $226.4KEvent: Oklahoma vs. Florida
0.0¢
Florida payout
100.0¢
Oklahoma payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:15 trades$110.0K tracked13% 🐋source coverage 49%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 559 min agoofficial metadata 345 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Oklahoma · $92.4K net·2 wallets(2🐋)·$97.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOklahoma$70.9K@ 52¢·Kch-Temp

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Oklahoma. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-08 00:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Florida" if Florida win the game by 6 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Oklahoma".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for November 7 at 7:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Florida" if Florida win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Oklahoma". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 6h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 6h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoi9 linked markets · $98.9K gross
ferrariChampions20263 linked markets · $21.0K gross
0xb4f9…c9a72 linked markets · $3.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY Oklahoma@ 54.0¢18h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Oklahoma@ 54.0¢18h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Oklahoma@ 54.0¢18h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Florida; negative values favor Oklahoma. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFlorida · $0
6hFlorida · $6
24hOklahoma · $104.8K

Florida price VWAP

Volume-weighted Florida price. Oklahoma fills are converted to the complementary Florida probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h47.88¢▼ below by 47.9pp
VWAP 7d47.88¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Florida price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$2
45¢
$110.0K
40¢
$6
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYOklahoma$24.1K@ 52.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—about 19 hours ago
BUYOklahoma$70.9K@ 51.99¢
Kch-Temp0x9243…658e
🐋—about 19 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Kch-TempOklahoma$70.9K
BUY VWAP 51.99¢·1 fill
maz26Oklahoma$24.1K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.