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Michigan State vs. Michigan

Sports→American FootballSettlement: Michigan StateLiquidity: $171.4KOfficial 24h Vol: —Event: Michigan State vs. Michigan
100.0¢
Michigan State payout
0.0¢
Michigan payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Michigan · $36.6K net·9 wallets(1🐋)·$46.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMichigan$28.3K@ 59¢·0xb4f9…c9a7

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Michigan State. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-08 00:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Michigan State" if Michigan State win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Michigan" if Michigan win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Michigan State and Michigan, scheduled for November 7 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Michigan State" if Michigan State win the game. This market will resolve to "Michigan" if Michigan win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 3d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 3d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoi3 linked markets · $80.6K gross
0xb4f9…c9a73 linked markets · $33.2K gross
ferrariChampions20263 linked markets · $10.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Michigan State; negative values favor Michigan. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMichigan State · $2.4K
6hMichigan · $70.1K
24hMichigan · $73.0K

Michigan State price VWAP

Volume-weighted Michigan State price. Michigan fills are converted to the complementary Michigan State probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h45.57¢▲ above by 54.4pp
VWAP 7d45.57¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Michigan State price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$5.6K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$23
75¢
$4.0K
70¢
$7.9K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$75.9K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$4
20¢
$0
15¢
$8.2K
10¢
$2.6K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMichigan$15.8K@ 59.0¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—3 days ago
BUYMichigan$11.8K@ 59.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—3 days ago
BUYMichigan$28.3K@ 59.0¢0xb4f9…c9a7🐋—3 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xb4f9…c9a7Michigan$28.3K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·1 fill
fkcvffcjtMichigan$17.7K
BUY VWAP 50.06¢·5 fills
kkookkooMichigan$17.3K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.