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Curitiba: Luiza Fullana vs Lourdes Ayala

● quote 713 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $518.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $170.9KEvent: Curitiba: Luiza Fullana vs Lourdes Ayala

Indicative prices · 713 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

22.0¢
Luiza Fullana
99.9¢
Lourdes Ayala
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets99Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:38 trades$84.9K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 743 min agoofficial metadata 713 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Luiza Fullana · $4.7K net·4 wallets·$4.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLourdes Ayala$31.5K@ 100¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$84.9K

4 verified profitable wallets: Luiza Fullana · $4.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 713 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 743 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 713 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-02 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Luiza Fullana and Lourdes Ayala in the Curitiba, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luiza Fullana' if Luiza Fullana advances against Lourdes Ayala. This market will resolve to 'Lourdes Ayala' if Lourdes Ayala advances against Luiza Fullana. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Lourdes Ayala13h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Lourdes Ayala@ 68.0¢13h ago
15m CONFIRMED +16.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Luiza Fullana DOWN 12.0pp · near-book depth $8.9K → $1 · 22s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Luiza Fullana; negative values favor Lourdes Ayala. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLuiza Fullana · $0
6hLuiza Fullana · $0
24hLuiza Fullana · $26.3K

Luiza Fullana price VWAP

Volume-weighted Luiza Fullana price. Lourdes Ayala fills are converted to the complementary Luiza Fullana probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current22.0¢
VWAP 24h31.98¢▼ below by 10.0pp
VWAP 7d31.98¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Luiza Fullana price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$832
70¢
$9.9K
65¢
$10.0K
60¢
$0
55¢
$4
50¢
$4.6K
45¢
$8.5K
40¢
$9
35¢
$6
30¢
$17.8K
25¢
$46
20¢
← now
$229
15¢
$9
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$32.9K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLLourdes Ayala$31.5K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 12 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HVABLourdes Ayala$14.4K
BUY VWAP 67.69¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.