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Brest: Hugo Gaston vs Daniil Glinka

● quote 95 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 5 daysLiquidity: $247.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $267.7KEvent: Brest: Hugo Gaston vs Daniil Glinka

Indicative prices · 95 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Hugo Gaston
0.1¢
Daniil Glinka
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets86Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:109 trades$121.6K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 119 min agoofficial metadata 95 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Daniil Glinka · $15.9K net·6 wallets(1🐋)·$18.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLHugo Gaston$38.8K@ 100¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$52.1K
tracked
$121.6K

6 verified profitable wallets: Daniil Glinka · $15.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 95 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 119 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 95 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-03 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Gaston and Daniil Glinka in the Brest, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo Gaston advances against Daniil Glinka. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Glinka' if Daniil Glinka advances against Hugo Gaston. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
DCAAA2 linked markets · $13 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Hugo Gaston UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $92.0K → $4.8K · 31s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Hugo Gaston; negative values favor Daniil Glinka. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHugo Gaston · $0
6hDaniil Glinka · $52.1K
24hDaniil Glinka · $52.1K

Hugo Gaston price VWAP

Volume-weighted Hugo Gaston price. Daniil Glinka fills are converted to the complementary Hugo Gaston probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h71.77¢▲ above by 28.1pp
VWAP 7d71.77¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Hugo Gaston price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$52.9K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$6.7K
75¢
$0
70¢
$148
65¢
$247
60¢
$7.0K
55¢
$18.6K
50¢
$2.4K
45¢
$134
40¢
$7.4K
35¢
$22.6K
30¢
$2.0K
25¢
$1.4K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLHugo Gaston$38.8K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLHugo Gaston$11.3K@ 99.0¢
SeventyPercentPlus0x2758…2e48
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYDaniil Glinka$17.2K@ 42.58¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYHugo Gaston$12.0K@ 37.29¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Daniil Glinka$17.2K
BUY VWAP 42.58¢·1 fill
kkookkooHugo Gaston$15.3K
BUY VWAP 40.81¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.