PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-07?

Sports→SoccerSettlement: YESLiquidity: $153.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $403.4KEvent: VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen
100.0¢
YES payout
0.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO · $33.8K net·8 wallets(1🐋)·$112.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYES$20.0K@ 54¢·SparYel

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome YES. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-07 17:30 UTC
Event constraint
Mutually exclusive
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Outcome meaning

•If VfB Stuttgart wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for November 7, 2026 If VfB Stuttgart wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Flaznorp3 linked markets · $28.5K gross
oieshfn3452 linked markets · $4.4K gross
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $427 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY YES3d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY NO@ 47.0¢3d ago
15m INVALIDATED -19.0pp1h INVALIDATED -24.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY YES@ 54.0¢3d ago
15m CONFIRMED +17.0pp1h CONFIRMED +22.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY NO@ 48.0¢3d ago
15m INVALIDATED -21.0pp1h INVALIDATED -25.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $0
6hYES · $0
24hNO · $22.4K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h63.05¢▲ above by 37.0pp
VWAP 7d62.23¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$4.7K
90¢
$1.7K
85¢
$16.0K
80¢
$0
75¢
$18.1K
70¢
$10.1K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$3.2K
50¢
$104.6K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNO$10.0K@ 47.51¢
nb19850x5815…0ae7
🐋—3 days ago
BUYYES$20.0K@ 53.63¢
SparYel0xa164…8b02
🐋—3 days ago
BUYNO$10.0K@ 47.3¢
nb19850x5815…0ae7
🐋—3 days ago
BUYNO$10.0K@ 47.0¢
nb19850x5815…0ae7
🐋—3 days ago
BUYNO$10.0K@ 47.0¢
nb19850x5815…0ae7
🐋—3 days ago
BUYNO$10.0K@ 47.0¢
nb19850x5815…0ae7
🐋—3 days ago
BUYNO$10.0K@ 47.0¢
nb19850x5815…0ae7
🐋—3 days ago
BUYNO$10.0K@ 47.0¢
nb19850x5815…0ae7
🐋—3 days ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Heat (-8.5)
51.5¢$606.2Kpriority50Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Celtics vs. 76ers
53.5¢$507.1Kpriority63Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Panthers vs. Blue Jackets
52.5¢$469.9Kpriority51Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Heat vs. Jazz
76.5¢$468.3Kpriority49Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Knicks (-15.5)
50.5¢$429.7Kpriority63Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.15¢$423.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien end in a draw?
28.5¢$414.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
80.5¢$380.0Kpriority71Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

nb1985No$70.0K
BUY VWAP 47.11¢·7 fills
SparYelYes$20.0K
BUY VWAP 53.63¢·1 fill
FlaznorpYes$19.8K
BUY VWAP 80.23¢·16 fills
0x076d…8d4cYes$10.8K
BUY VWAP 52.95¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.