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Set 1 Winner: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino

Sports→TennisSettlement: Nikoloz BasilashviliLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $1.2KEvent: Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino
100.0¢
Nikoloz Basilashvili payout
0.0¢
Adrian Mannarino payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:2 trades$148 trackedsource coverage 16%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 106 min agoofficial metadata 47 min ago

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Nikoloz Basilashvili. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-30 06:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Nikoloz Basilashvili” if Nikoloz Basilashvili wins the first set. It will resolve to “Adrian Mannarino” if Adrian Mannarino wins the first set.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Adrian Mannarino in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Nikoloz Basilashvili” if Nikoloz Basilashvili wins the first set. It will resolve to “Adrian Mannarino” if Adrian Mannarino wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 48m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 48m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x9e3e…f8822 linked markets · $6.4K gross
neutralwave232 linked markets · $95 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nikoloz Basilashvili; negative values favor Adrian Mannarino. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNikoloz Basilashvili · $88
6hNikoloz Basilashvili · $28
24hNikoloz Basilashvili · $28

Nikoloz Basilashvili price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nikoloz Basilashvili price. Adrian Mannarino fills are converted to the complementary Nikoloz Basilashvili probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h63.5¢▲ above by 36.5pp
VWAP 7d63.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Nikoloz Basilashvili price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$88
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$60
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino
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Basilashvili vs. Mannarino: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$3.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino
0.0¢$1.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Basilashvili vs. Mannarino: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢$605priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Nikoloz Basilashvili (-1.5) vs Adrian Mannarino (+1.5)
0.0¢$482priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Nikoloz Basilashvili vs. Adrian Mannarino: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢$456priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Nikoloz Basilashvili (-1.5) vs Adrian Mannarino (+1.5)
0.0¢$61priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Basilashvili vs. Mannarino: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢$2priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.