Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-02?

● quote just now
Sports→SoccerCloses: 23 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $32.9KEvent: Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

87.5¢
YES
12.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100direction12wallets33execution63priority0data 60%💡 1 smart
24h sample:22 trades$12.8K trackedsource coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 48 min agoofficial metadata 14 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYES$3.3K@ 87¢·0x7d3b…55b8

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: $1.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.5K
6h
+$4.7K
tracked
$12.8K

1 verified profitable wallet: YES · $67 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 48 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-02 20:15 UTC
Event constraint
Mutually exclusive
Resolution source: https://www.ligaportugal.pt/
Outcome meaning

•If Sport Lisboa e Benfica wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for November 2, 2026 If Sport Lisboa e Benfica wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x0b0a…e4822 linked markets · $150 gross
0xaa97…946f2 linked markets · $7 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Lifecycleresolving

Signed Order Flow

1hYES · $1.5K
6hYES · $4.7K
24hYES · $12.8K

YES price VWAP

Current87.5¢
VWAP 24h86.64¢▲ above by 0.9pp
VWAP 7d86.64¢
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
← now
$12.8K
80¢
$18
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$2.2K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.