PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)

Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeSettlement: TheMongolzLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $10.4KEvent: Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs
100.0¢
TheMongolz payout
0.0¢
magic payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:14 trades$3.9K trackedsource coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 65 min agoofficial metadata 14 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:magic · $3.0K net·4 wallets·$3.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYmagic$2.0K@ 72¢·0x29b5…cc6c

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome TheMongolz. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-21 15:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz wins 2 or more maps than magic in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "magic".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Quarterfinal 2 match between magic and TheMongolz in the 1win Private Club Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz wins 2 or more maps than magic in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "magic". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 21, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining maps required to decide the match, including a map in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 14m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 14m ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 3h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x29b5…cc6c2 linked markets · $34.2K gross
Iostfd2 linked markets · $17.1K gross
Kangtamqf3 linked markets · $13.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: TheMongolz UP 32.5pp · near-book depth $6 → $33 · 69s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor TheMongolz; negative values favor magic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTheMongolz · $5
6hmagic · $2.2K
24hmagic · $3.3K

TheMongolz price VWAP

Volume-weighted TheMongolz price. magic fills are converted to the complementary TheMongolz probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h28.3¢▲ above by 71.7pp
VWAP 7d28.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

TheMongolz price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$5
35¢
$0
30¢
$1.1K
25¢
$2.8K
20¢
$36
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?
43.5¢$923.3Kpriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
0.0¢$679.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?
31.5¢$563.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?
40.5¢$456.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$434.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev
45.5¢$323.9Kpriority63Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
25.5¢$311.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.