PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $184.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $415.0KEvent: Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev
49.5¢
Adrian Mannarino
50.5¢
Andrey Rublev
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets64Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution86Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority56Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 14 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:258 trades$145.0K trackedsource coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Andrey Rublev · $29.2K net·14 wallets(1🐋)·$45.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAndrey Rublev$17.7K@ 55¢·0x076d…8d4c

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Andrey Rublev SETUP
What the tape says

Andrey Rublev pressure: $2.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$2.9K
6h
−$50.5K
tracked
$145.0K

14 verified profitable wallets: Andrey Rublev · $29.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 56

Since latest large flow: -10.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Andrey Rublev or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-28 06:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Andrey Rublev in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Andrey Rublev. This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev' if Andrey Rublev advances against Adrian Mannarino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
neutralwave232 linked markets · $4.7K gross
0x4258…b5da2 linked markets · $290 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Andrey Rublev@ 61.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -11.0pp1h CONFIRMED +3.0pp
Latest book event: Andrey Rublev DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $58.9K → $33.4K · 11s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Adrian Mannarino; negative values favor Andrey Rublev. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAndrey Rublev · $2.9K
6hAndrey Rublev · $50.5K
24hAndrey Rublev · $61.6K

Adrian Mannarino price VWAP

Volume-weighted Adrian Mannarino price. Andrey Rublev fills are converted to the complementary Adrian Mannarino probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current49.5¢
VWAP 24h41.5¢▲ above by 8.0pp
VWAP 7d41.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Adrian Mannarino price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$8.2K
55¢
$0
50¢
$17.5K
45¢
← now
$34.8K
40¢
$39.8K
35¢
$18.0K
30¢
$6.9K
25¢
$290
20¢
$19.7K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAndrey Rublev$17.7K@ 55.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set 2 Winner: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev
0.0¢$526priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Mannarino vs. Rublev: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢$336priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Adrian Mannarino vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢$157priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Adrian Mannarino (-1.5) vs Andrey Rublev (+1.5)
0.0¢$135priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Andrey Rublev (-4.5) vs Adrian Mannarino (+4.5)
0.0¢$127priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Mannarino vs. Rublev: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢$9priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Mannarino vs. Rublev: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Mannarino vs. Rublev: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cAndrey Rublev$18.4K
BUY VWAP 54.9¢·2 fills
KkunnAndrey Rublev$17.3K
BUY VWAP 58.5¢·2 fills
UpTheBluesAdrian Mannarino$12.5K
BUY VWAP 41.9¢·11 fills
jtwyslljyAndrey Rublev$10.8K
BUY VWAP 52.2¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.