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Set 2 Winner: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev

Sports→TennisSettlement: Andrey RublevLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $526Event: Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev
0.0¢
Adrian Mannarino payout
100.0¢
Andrey Rublev payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:2 trades$219 trackedsource coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 79 min agoofficial metadata 8 min ago

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Andrey Rublev. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-28 06:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Adrian Mannarino” if Adrian Mannarino wins set 2. It will resolve to “Andrey Rublev” if Andrey Rublev wins set 2.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Andrey Rublev in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Adrian Mannarino” if Adrian Mannarino wins set 2. It will resolve to “Andrey Rublev” if Andrey Rublev wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 24m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 24m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
neutralwave232 linked markets · $4.7K gross
0x4258…b5da2 linked markets · $290 gross
0xde96…190c2 linked markets · $62 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Adrian Mannarino; negative values favor Andrey Rublev. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAndrey Rublev · $219
6hAndrey Rublev · $219
24hAndrey Rublev · $219

Adrian Mannarino price VWAP

Volume-weighted Adrian Mannarino price. Andrey Rublev fills are converted to the complementary Adrian Mannarino probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h2.1¢▼ below by 2.1pp
VWAP 7d2.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Adrian Mannarino price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

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← now
$219

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.