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Set 1 Winner: Magda Linette vs Katerina Siniakova

Sports→TennisSettlement: Katerina SiniakovaLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $245Event: Japan Women's Open: Magda Linette vs Katerina Siniakova
0.0¢
Magda Linette payout
100.0¢
Katerina Siniakova payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:1 trades$19 trackedsource coverage 8%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 95 min agoofficial metadata 15 min ago

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Katerina Siniakova. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-29 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Magda Linette” if Magda Linette wins the first set. It will resolve to “Katerina Siniakova” if Katerina Siniakova wins the first set.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Magda Linette and Katerina Siniakova in the Japan Women's Open, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Magda Linette” if Magda Linette wins the first set. It will resolve to “Katerina Siniakova” if Katerina Siniakova wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 16m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 16m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Magda Linette; negative values favor Katerina Siniakova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMagda Linette · $0
6hMagda Linette · $19
24hMagda Linette · $19

Magda Linette price VWAP

Volume-weighted Magda Linette price. Katerina Siniakova fills are converted to the complementary Magda Linette probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h46.0¢▼ below by 46.0pp
VWAP 7d46.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Magda Linette price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$19
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Japan Women's Open: Magda Linette vs Katerina Siniakova
0.1¢$241.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Katerina Siniakova (-1.5) vs Magda Linette (+1.5)
43.5¢$418priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Linette vs. Siniakova: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$304priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Linette vs. Siniakova: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢$9priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Magda Linette vs. Katerina Siniakova: Total Sets O/U 2.5
36.0¢$3priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Katerina Siniakova (-3.5) vs Magda Linette (+3.5)
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Magda Linette vs Katerina Siniakova
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Linette vs. Siniakova: Match O/U 23.5
38.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.