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Japan Women's Open: Magda Linette vs Katerina Siniakova

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $115.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $117.6KEvent: Japan Women's Open: Magda Linette vs Katerina Siniakova
18.5¢
Magda Linette
81.5¢
Katerina Siniakova
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection33Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority76Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:44 trades$46.9K trackedsource coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 38s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Katerina Siniakova · $5.2K net·6 wallets·$5.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKaterina Siniakova$9.7K@ 65¢·Kkunn

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Katerina Siniakova SETUP
What the tape says

Katerina Siniakova pressure: $15.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$15.3K
6h
−$27.5K
tracked
$46.9K

6 verified profitable wallets: Katerina Siniakova · $5.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 76

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Katerina Siniakova or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-29 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Magda Linette and Katerina Siniakova in the Japan Women's Open, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Magda Linette' if Magda Linette advances against Katerina Siniakova. This market will resolve to 'Katerina Siniakova' if Katerina Siniakova advances against Magda Linette. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Magda Linette DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $2.1K → $5.0K · 16s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Magda Linette; negative values favor Katerina Siniakova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKaterina Siniakova · $15.3K
6hKaterina Siniakova · $27.5K
24hKaterina Siniakova · $27.5K

Magda Linette price VWAP

Volume-weighted Magda Linette price. Katerina Siniakova fills are converted to the complementary Magda Linette probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current18.5¢
VWAP 24h35.9¢▼ below by 17.4pp
VWAP 7d35.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Magda Linette price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$1.2K
35¢
$31.5K
30¢
$18.6K
25¢
$23
20¢
$4
15¢
← now
$99
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Katerina Siniakova (-1.5) vs Magda Linette (+1.5)
43.5¢$418priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Linette vs. Siniakova: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$246priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Magda Linette vs Katerina Siniakova
0.0¢$182priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Linette vs. Siniakova: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢$9priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Magda Linette vs. Katerina Siniakova: Total Sets O/U 2.5
36.0¢$3priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Magda Linette vs Katerina Siniakova
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Linette vs. Siniakova: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Linette vs. Siniakova: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

KkunnKaterina Siniakova$20.8K
BUY VWAP 66.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.