PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima

Sports→TennisSettlement: Mary StoianaLiquidity: $1.5MOfficial 24h Vol: $517.7KEvent: Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima
100.0¢
Mary Stoiana payout
0.0¢
Moyuka Uchijima payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:149 trades$241.5K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 44 min agoofficial metadata 21 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Mary Stoiana · $5.4K net·13 wallets·$14.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMary Stoiana$48.8K@ 68¢·tin54321

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Mary Stoiana. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-29 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Mary Stoiana and Moyuka Uchijima in the Japan Women's Open, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mary Stoiana' if Mary Stoiana advances against Moyuka Uchijima. This market will resolve to 'Moyuka Uchijima' if Moyuka Uchijima advances against Mary Stoiana. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 22m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 22m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xfb57…67192 linked markets · $40 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Mary Stoiana@ 65.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -41.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Mary Stoiana UP 7.0pp · near-book depth $65.2K → $22.3K · 12s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Mary Stoiana; negative values favor Moyuka Uchijima. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMoyuka Uchijima · $38.1K
6hMary Stoiana · $80.9K
24hMary Stoiana · $80.9K

Mary Stoiana price VWAP

Volume-weighted Mary Stoiana price. Moyuka Uchijima fills are converted to the complementary Mary Stoiana probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h70.6¢▲ above by 29.4pp
VWAP 7d70.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Mary Stoiana price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$27.4K
90¢
$0
85¢
$10.2K
80¢
$32.9K
75¢
$50.0K
70¢
$2.8K
65¢
$58.3K
60¢
$22.7K
55¢
$2.5K
50¢
$7.6K
45¢
$1.6K
40¢
$6.3K
35¢
$167
30¢
$6.0K
25¢
$0
20¢
$210
15¢
$12.9K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLMary Stoiana$14.7K@ 99.9¢
isco230x86eb…6566
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMary Stoiana$48.8K@ 67.7¢
tin543210x91e6…e9c5
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMary Stoiana$44.6K@ 78.5¢
tin543210x91e6…e9c5
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMary Stoiana$13.4K@ 80.8¢
tin543210x91e6…e9c5
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$796.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Cali: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Gonzalo Bueno
53.5¢$376.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci
47.0¢$286.1Kpriority59Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$275.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan
0.0¢$257.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Viking win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$250.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will LASK win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$250.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

tin54321Mary Stoiana$106.8K
BUY VWAP 73.4¢·3 fills
UpTheBluesMary Stoiana$13.6K
BUY VWAP 80.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.